Buckets:
| """ | |
| Basic statistics module. | |
| This module provides functions for calculating statistics of data, including | |
| averages, variance, and standard deviation. | |
| Calculating averages | |
| -------------------- | |
| ================== ================================================== | |
| Function Description | |
| ================== ================================================== | |
| mean Arithmetic mean (average) of data. | |
| fmean Fast, floating point arithmetic mean. | |
| geometric_mean Geometric mean of data. | |
| harmonic_mean Harmonic mean of data. | |
| median Median (middle value) of data. | |
| median_low Low median of data. | |
| median_high High median of data. | |
| median_grouped Median, or 50th percentile, of grouped data. | |
| mode Mode (most common value) of data. | |
| multimode List of modes (most common values of data). | |
| quantiles Divide data into intervals with equal probability. | |
| ================== ================================================== | |
| Calculate the arithmetic mean ("the average") of data: | |
| mean([-1.0, 2.5, 3.25, 5.75]) | |
| 2.625 | |
| Calculate the standard median of discrete data: | |
| median([2, 3, 4, 5]) | |
| 3.5 | |
| Calculate the median, or 50th percentile, of data grouped into class intervals | |
| centred on the data values provided. E.g. if your data points are rounded to | |
| the nearest whole number: | |
| median_grouped([2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 4]) #doctest: +ELLIPSIS | |
| 2.8333333333... | |
| This should be interpreted in this way: you have two data points in the class | |
| interval 1.5-2.5, three data points in the class interval 2.5-3.5, and one in | |
| the class interval 3.5-4.5. The median of these data points is 2.8333... | |
| Calculating variability or spread | |
| --------------------------------- | |
| ================== ============================================= | |
| Function Description | |
| ================== ============================================= | |
| pvariance Population variance of data. | |
| variance Sample variance of data. | |
| pstdev Population standard deviation of data. | |
| stdev Sample standard deviation of data. | |
| ================== ============================================= | |
| Calculate the standard deviation of sample data: | |
| stdev([2.5, 3.25, 5.5, 11.25, 11.75]) #doctest: +ELLIPSIS | |
| 4.38961843444... | |
| If you have previously calculated the mean, you can pass it as the optional | |
| second argument to the four "spread" functions to avoid recalculating it: | |
| data = [1, 2, 2, 4, 4, 4, 5, 6] | |
| mu = mean(data) | |
| pvariance(data, mu) | |
| 2.5 | |
| Statistics for relations between two inputs | |
| ------------------------------------------- | |
| ================== ==================================================== | |
| Function Description | |
| ================== ==================================================== | |
| covariance Sample covariance for two variables. | |
| correlation Pearson's correlation coefficient for two variables. | |
| linear_regression Intercept and slope for simple linear regression. | |
| ================== ==================================================== | |
| Calculate covariance, Pearson's correlation, and simple linear regression | |
| for two inputs: | |
| x = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9] | |
| y = [1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 3] | |
| covariance(x, y) | |
| 0.75 | |
| correlation(x, y) #doctest: +ELLIPSIS | |
| 0.31622776601... | |
| linear_regression(x, y) #doctest: | |
| LinearRegression(slope=0.1, intercept=1.5) | |
| Exceptions | |
| ---------- | |
| A single exception is defined: StatisticsError is a subclass of ValueError. | |
| """ | |
| __all__ = [ | |
| 'NormalDist', | |
| 'StatisticsError', | |
| 'correlation', | |
| 'covariance', | |
| 'fmean', | |
| 'geometric_mean', | |
| 'harmonic_mean', | |
| 'linear_regression', | |
| 'mean', | |
| 'median', | |
| 'median_grouped', | |
| 'median_high', | |
| 'median_low', | |
| 'mode', | |
| 'multimode', | |
| 'pstdev', | |
| 'pvariance', | |
| 'quantiles', | |
| 'stdev', | |
| 'variance', | |
| ] | |
| import math | |
| import numbers | |
| import random | |
| from fractions import Fraction | |
| from decimal import Decimal | |
| from itertools import groupby, repeat | |
| from bisect import bisect_left, bisect_right | |
| from math import hypot, sqrt, fabs, exp, erf, tau, log, fsum | |
| from operator import itemgetter | |
| from collections import Counter, namedtuple | |
| # === Exceptions === | |
| class StatisticsError(ValueError): | |
| pass | |
| # === Private utilities === | |
| def _sum(data): | |
| """_sum(data) -> (type, sum, count) | |
| Return a high-precision sum of the given numeric data as a fraction, | |
| together with the type to be converted to and the count of items. | |
| Examples | |
| -------- | |
| >>> _sum([3, 2.25, 4.5, -0.5, 0.25]) | |
| (<class 'float'>, Fraction(19, 2), 5) | |
| Some sources of round-off error will be avoided: | |
| # Built-in sum returns zero. | |
| >>> _sum([1e50, 1, -1e50] * 1000) | |
| (<class 'float'>, Fraction(1000, 1), 3000) | |
| Fractions and Decimals are also supported: | |
| >>> from fractions import Fraction as F | |
| >>> _sum([F(2, 3), F(7, 5), F(1, 4), F(5, 6)]) | |
| (<class 'fractions.Fraction'>, Fraction(63, 20), 4) | |
| >>> from decimal import Decimal as D | |
| >>> data = [D("0.1375"), D("0.2108"), D("0.3061"), D("0.0419")] | |
| >>> _sum(data) | |
| (<class 'decimal.Decimal'>, Fraction(6963, 10000), 4) | |
| Mixed types are currently treated as an error, except that int is | |
| allowed. | |
| """ | |
| count = 0 | |
| partials = {} | |
| partials_get = partials.get | |
| T = int | |
| for typ, values in groupby(data, type): | |
| T = _coerce(T, typ) # or raise TypeError | |
| for n, d in map(_exact_ratio, values): | |
| count += 1 | |
| partials[d] = partials_get(d, 0) + n | |
| if None in partials: | |
| # The sum will be a NAN or INF. We can ignore all the finite | |
| # partials, and just look at this special one. | |
| total = partials[None] | |
| assert not _isfinite(total) | |
| else: | |
| # Sum all the partial sums using builtin sum. | |
| total = sum(Fraction(n, d) for d, n in partials.items()) | |
| return (T, total, count) | |
| def _isfinite(x): | |
| try: | |
| return x.is_finite() # Likely a Decimal. | |
| except AttributeError: | |
| return math.isfinite(x) # Coerces to float first. | |
| def _coerce(T, S): | |
| """Coerce types T and S to a common type, or raise TypeError. | |
| Coercion rules are currently an implementation detail. See the CoerceTest | |
| test class in test_statistics for details. | |
| """ | |
| # See http://bugs.python.org/issue24068. | |
| assert T is not bool, "initial type T is bool" | |
| # If the types are the same, no need to coerce anything. Put this | |
| # first, so that the usual case (no coercion needed) happens as soon | |
| # as possible. | |
| if T is S: return T | |
| # Mixed int & other coerce to the other type. | |
| if S is int or S is bool: return T | |
| if T is int: return S | |
| # If one is a (strict) subclass of the other, coerce to the subclass. | |
| if issubclass(S, T): return S | |
| if issubclass(T, S): return T | |
| # Ints coerce to the other type. | |
| if issubclass(T, int): return S | |
| if issubclass(S, int): return T | |
| # Mixed fraction & float coerces to float (or float subclass). | |
| if issubclass(T, Fraction) and issubclass(S, float): | |
| return S | |
| if issubclass(T, float) and issubclass(S, Fraction): | |
| return T | |
| # Any other combination is disallowed. | |
| msg = "don't know how to coerce %s and %s" | |
| raise TypeError(msg % (T.__name__, S.__name__)) | |
| def _exact_ratio(x): | |
| """Return Real number x to exact (numerator, denominator) pair. | |
| >>> _exact_ratio(0.25) | |
| (1, 4) | |
| x is expected to be an int, Fraction, Decimal or float. | |
| """ | |
| try: | |
| return x.as_integer_ratio() | |
| except AttributeError: | |
| pass | |
| except (OverflowError, ValueError): | |
| # float NAN or INF. | |
| assert not _isfinite(x) | |
| return (x, None) | |
| try: | |
| # x may be an Integral ABC. | |
| return (x.numerator, x.denominator) | |
| except AttributeError: | |
| msg = f"can't convert type '{type(x).__name__}' to numerator/denominator" | |
| raise TypeError(msg) | |
| def _convert(value, T): | |
| """Convert value to given numeric type T.""" | |
| if type(value) is T: | |
| # This covers the cases where T is Fraction, or where value is | |
| # a NAN or INF (Decimal or float). | |
| return value | |
| if issubclass(T, int) and value.denominator != 1: | |
| T = float | |
| try: | |
| # FIXME: what do we do if this overflows? | |
| return T(value) | |
| except TypeError: | |
| if issubclass(T, Decimal): | |
| return T(value.numerator) / T(value.denominator) | |
| else: | |
| raise | |
| def _find_lteq(a, x): | |
| 'Locate the leftmost value exactly equal to x' | |
| i = bisect_left(a, x) | |
| if i != len(a) and a[i] == x: | |
| return i | |
| raise ValueError | |
| def _find_rteq(a, l, x): | |
| 'Locate the rightmost value exactly equal to x' | |
| i = bisect_right(a, x, lo=l) | |
| if i != (len(a) + 1) and a[i - 1] == x: | |
| return i - 1 | |
| raise ValueError | |
| def _fail_neg(values, errmsg='negative value'): | |
| """Iterate over values, failing if any are less than zero.""" | |
| for x in values: | |
| if x < 0: | |
| raise StatisticsError(errmsg) | |
| yield x | |
| # === Measures of central tendency (averages) === | |
| def mean(data): | |
| """Return the sample arithmetic mean of data. | |
| >>> mean([1, 2, 3, 4, 4]) | |
| 2.8 | |
| >>> from fractions import Fraction as F | |
| >>> mean([F(3, 7), F(1, 21), F(5, 3), F(1, 3)]) | |
| Fraction(13, 21) | |
| >>> from decimal import Decimal as D | |
| >>> mean([D("0.5"), D("0.75"), D("0.625"), D("0.375")]) | |
| Decimal('0.5625') | |
| If ``data`` is empty, StatisticsError will be raised. | |
| """ | |
| if iter(data) is data: | |
| data = list(data) | |
| n = len(data) | |
| if n < 1: | |
| raise StatisticsError('mean requires at least one data point') | |
| T, total, count = _sum(data) | |
| assert count == n | |
| return _convert(total / n, T) | |
| def fmean(data): | |
| """Convert data to floats and compute the arithmetic mean. | |
| This runs faster than the mean() function and it always returns a float. | |
| If the input dataset is empty, it raises a StatisticsError. | |
| >>> fmean([3.5, 4.0, 5.25]) | |
| 4.25 | |
| """ | |
| try: | |
| n = len(data) | |
| except TypeError: | |
| # Handle iterators that do not define __len__(). | |
| n = 0 | |
| def count(iterable): | |
| nonlocal n | |
| for n, x in enumerate(iterable, start=1): | |
| yield x | |
| total = fsum(count(data)) | |
| else: | |
| total = fsum(data) | |
| try: | |
| return total / n | |
| except ZeroDivisionError: | |
| raise StatisticsError('fmean requires at least one data point') from None | |
| def geometric_mean(data): | |
| """Convert data to floats and compute the geometric mean. | |
| Raises a StatisticsError if the input dataset is empty, | |
| if it contains a zero, or if it contains a negative value. | |
| No special efforts are made to achieve exact results. | |
| (However, this may change in the future.) | |
| >>> round(geometric_mean([54, 24, 36]), 9) | |
| 36.0 | |
| """ | |
| try: | |
| return exp(fmean(map(log, data))) | |
| except ValueError: | |
| raise StatisticsError('geometric mean requires a non-empty dataset ' | |
| 'containing positive numbers') from None | |
| def harmonic_mean(data, weights=None): | |
| """Return the harmonic mean of data. | |
| The harmonic mean is the reciprocal of the arithmetic mean of the | |
| reciprocals of the data. It can be used for averaging ratios or | |
| rates, for example speeds. | |
| Suppose a car travels 40 km/hr for 5 km and then speeds-up to | |
| 60 km/hr for another 5 km. What is the average speed? | |
| >>> harmonic_mean([40, 60]) | |
| 48.0 | |
| Suppose a car travels 40 km/hr for 5 km, and when traffic clears, | |
| speeds-up to 60 km/hr for the remaining 30 km of the journey. What | |
| is the average speed? | |
| >>> harmonic_mean([40, 60], weights=[5, 30]) | |
| 56.0 | |
| If ``data`` is empty, or any element is less than zero, | |
| ``harmonic_mean`` will raise ``StatisticsError``. | |
| """ | |
| if iter(data) is data: | |
| data = list(data) | |
| errmsg = 'harmonic mean does not support negative values' | |
| n = len(data) | |
| if n < 1: | |
| raise StatisticsError('harmonic_mean requires at least one data point') | |
| elif n == 1 and weights is None: | |
| x = data[0] | |
| if isinstance(x, (numbers.Real, Decimal)): | |
| if x < 0: | |
| raise StatisticsError(errmsg) | |
| return x | |
| else: | |
| raise TypeError('unsupported type') | |
| if weights is None: | |
| weights = repeat(1, n) | |
| sum_weights = n | |
| else: | |
| if iter(weights) is weights: | |
| weights = list(weights) | |
| if len(weights) != n: | |
| raise StatisticsError('Number of weights does not match data size') | |
| _, sum_weights, _ = _sum(w for w in _fail_neg(weights, errmsg)) | |
| try: | |
| data = _fail_neg(data, errmsg) | |
| T, total, count = _sum(w / x if w else 0 for w, x in zip(weights, data)) | |
| except ZeroDivisionError: | |
| return 0 | |
| if total <= 0: | |
| raise StatisticsError('Weighted sum must be positive') | |
| return _convert(sum_weights / total, T) | |
| # FIXME: investigate ways to calculate medians without sorting? Quickselect? | |
| def median(data): | |
| """Return the median (middle value) of numeric data. | |
| When the number of data points is odd, return the middle data point. | |
| When the number of data points is even, the median is interpolated by | |
| taking the average of the two middle values: | |
| >>> median([1, 3, 5]) | |
| 3 | |
| >>> median([1, 3, 5, 7]) | |
| 4.0 | |
| """ | |
| data = sorted(data) | |
| n = len(data) | |
| if n == 0: | |
| raise StatisticsError("no median for empty data") | |
| if n % 2 == 1: | |
| return data[n // 2] | |
| else: | |
| i = n // 2 | |
| return (data[i - 1] + data[i]) / 2 | |
| def median_low(data): | |
| """Return the low median of numeric data. | |
| When the number of data points is odd, the middle value is returned. | |
| When it is even, the smaller of the two middle values is returned. | |
| >>> median_low([1, 3, 5]) | |
| 3 | |
| >>> median_low([1, 3, 5, 7]) | |
| 3 | |
| """ | |
| data = sorted(data) | |
| n = len(data) | |
| if n == 0: | |
| raise StatisticsError("no median for empty data") | |
| if n % 2 == 1: | |
| return data[n // 2] | |
| else: | |
| return data[n // 2 - 1] | |
| def median_high(data): | |
| """Return the high median of data. | |
| When the number of data points is odd, the middle value is returned. | |
| When it is even, the larger of the two middle values is returned. | |
| >>> median_high([1, 3, 5]) | |
| 3 | |
| >>> median_high([1, 3, 5, 7]) | |
| 5 | |
| """ | |
| data = sorted(data) | |
| n = len(data) | |
| if n == 0: | |
| raise StatisticsError("no median for empty data") | |
| return data[n // 2] | |
| def median_grouped(data, interval=1): | |
| """Return the 50th percentile (median) of grouped continuous data. | |
| >>> median_grouped([1, 2, 2, 3, 4, 4, 4, 4, 4, 5]) | |
| 3.7 | |
| >>> median_grouped([52, 52, 53, 54]) | |
| 52.5 | |
| This calculates the median as the 50th percentile, and should be | |
| used when your data is continuous and grouped. In the above example, | |
| the values 1, 2, 3, etc. actually represent the midpoint of classes | |
| 0.5-1.5, 1.5-2.5, 2.5-3.5, etc. The middle value falls somewhere in | |
| class 3.5-4.5, and interpolation is used to estimate it. | |
| Optional argument ``interval`` represents the class interval, and | |
| defaults to 1. Changing the class interval naturally will change the | |
| interpolated 50th percentile value: | |
| >>> median_grouped([1, 3, 3, 5, 7], interval=1) | |
| 3.25 | |
| >>> median_grouped([1, 3, 3, 5, 7], interval=2) | |
| 3.5 | |
| This function does not check whether the data points are at least | |
| ``interval`` apart. | |
| """ | |
| data = sorted(data) | |
| n = len(data) | |
| if n == 0: | |
| raise StatisticsError("no median for empty data") | |
| elif n == 1: | |
| return data[0] | |
| # Find the value at the midpoint. Remember this corresponds to the | |
| # centre of the class interval. | |
| x = data[n // 2] | |
| for obj in (x, interval): | |
| if isinstance(obj, (str, bytes)): | |
| raise TypeError('expected number but got %r' % obj) | |
| try: | |
| L = x - interval / 2 # The lower limit of the median interval. | |
| except TypeError: | |
| # Mixed type. For now we just coerce to float. | |
| L = float(x) - float(interval) / 2 | |
| # Uses bisection search to search for x in data with log(n) time complexity | |
| # Find the position of leftmost occurrence of x in data | |
| l1 = _find_lteq(data, x) | |
| # Find the position of rightmost occurrence of x in data[l1...len(data)] | |
| # Assuming always l1 <= l2 | |
| l2 = _find_rteq(data, l1, x) | |
| cf = l1 | |
| f = l2 - l1 + 1 | |
| return L + interval * (n / 2 - cf) / f | |
| def mode(data): | |
| """Return the most common data point from discrete or nominal data. | |
| ``mode`` assumes discrete data, and returns a single value. This is the | |
| standard treatment of the mode as commonly taught in schools: | |
| >>> mode([1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 4]) | |
| 3 | |
| This also works with nominal (non-numeric) data: | |
| >>> mode(["red", "blue", "blue", "red", "green", "red", "red"]) | |
| 'red' | |
| If there are multiple modes with same frequency, return the first one | |
| encountered: | |
| >>> mode(['red', 'red', 'green', 'blue', 'blue']) | |
| 'red' | |
| If *data* is empty, ``mode``, raises StatisticsError. | |
| """ | |
| pairs = Counter(iter(data)).most_common(1) | |
| try: | |
| return pairs[0][0] | |
| except IndexError: | |
| raise StatisticsError('no mode for empty data') from None | |
| def multimode(data): | |
| """Return a list of the most frequently occurring values. | |
| Will return more than one result if there are multiple modes | |
| or an empty list if *data* is empty. | |
| >>> multimode('aabbbbbbbbcc') | |
| ['b'] | |
| >>> multimode('aabbbbccddddeeffffgg') | |
| ['b', 'd', 'f'] | |
| >>> multimode('') | |
| [] | |
| """ | |
| counts = Counter(iter(data)).most_common() | |
| maxcount, mode_items = next(groupby(counts, key=itemgetter(1)), (0, [])) | |
| return list(map(itemgetter(0), mode_items)) | |
| # Notes on methods for computing quantiles | |
| # ---------------------------------------- | |
| # | |
| # There is no one perfect way to compute quantiles. Here we offer | |
| # two methods that serve common needs. Most other packages | |
| # surveyed offered at least one or both of these two, making them | |
| # "standard" in the sense of "widely-adopted and reproducible". | |
| # They are also easy to explain, easy to compute manually, and have | |
| # straight-forward interpretations that aren't surprising. | |
| # The default method is known as "R6", "PERCENTILE.EXC", or "expected | |
| # value of rank order statistics". The alternative method is known as | |
| # "R7", "PERCENTILE.INC", or "mode of rank order statistics". | |
| # For sample data where there is a positive probability for values | |
| # beyond the range of the data, the R6 exclusive method is a | |
| # reasonable choice. Consider a random sample of nine values from a | |
| # population with a uniform distribution from 0.0 to 1.0. The | |
| # distribution of the third ranked sample point is described by | |
| # betavariate(alpha=3, beta=7) which has mode=0.250, median=0.286, and | |
| # mean=0.300. Only the latter (which corresponds with R6) gives the | |
| # desired cut point with 30% of the population falling below that | |
| # value, making it comparable to a result from an inv_cdf() function. | |
| # The R6 exclusive method is also idempotent. | |
| # For describing population data where the end points are known to | |
| # be included in the data, the R7 inclusive method is a reasonable | |
| # choice. Instead of the mean, it uses the mode of the beta | |
| # distribution for the interior points. Per Hyndman & Fan, "One nice | |
| # property is that the vertices of Q7(p) divide the range into n - 1 | |
| # intervals, and exactly 100p% of the intervals lie to the left of | |
| # Q7(p) and 100(1 - p)% of the intervals lie to the right of Q7(p)." | |
| # If needed, other methods could be added. However, for now, the | |
| # position is that fewer options make for easier choices and that | |
| # external packages can be used for anything more advanced. | |
| def quantiles(data, *, n=4, method='exclusive'): | |
| """Divide *data* into *n* continuous intervals with equal probability. | |
| Returns a list of (n - 1) cut points separating the intervals. | |
| Set *n* to 4 for quartiles (the default). Set *n* to 10 for deciles. | |
| Set *n* to 100 for percentiles which gives the 99 cuts points that | |
| separate *data* in to 100 equal sized groups. | |
| The *data* can be any iterable containing sample. | |
| The cut points are linearly interpolated between data points. | |
| If *method* is set to *inclusive*, *data* is treated as population | |
| data. The minimum value is treated as the 0th percentile and the | |
| maximum value is treated as the 100th percentile. | |
| """ | |
| if n < 1: | |
| raise StatisticsError('n must be at least 1') | |
| data = sorted(data) | |
| ld = len(data) | |
| if ld < 2: | |
| raise StatisticsError('must have at least two data points') | |
| if method == 'inclusive': | |
| m = ld - 1 | |
| result = [] | |
| for i in range(1, n): | |
| j, delta = divmod(i * m, n) | |
| interpolated = (data[j] * (n - delta) + data[j + 1] * delta) / n | |
| result.append(interpolated) | |
| return result | |
| if method == 'exclusive': | |
| m = ld + 1 | |
| result = [] | |
| for i in range(1, n): | |
| j = i * m // n # rescale i to m/n | |
| j = 1 if j < 1 else ld-1 if j > ld-1 else j # clamp to 1 .. ld-1 | |
| delta = i*m - j*n # exact integer math | |
| interpolated = (data[j - 1] * (n - delta) + data[j] * delta) / n | |
| result.append(interpolated) | |
| return result | |
| raise ValueError(f'Unknown method: {method!r}') | |
| # === Measures of spread === | |
| # See http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Variance.html | |
| # http://mathworld.wolfram.com/SampleVariance.html | |
| # http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algorithms_for_calculating_variance | |
| # | |
| # Under no circumstances use the so-called "computational formula for | |
| # variance", as that is only suitable for hand calculations with a small | |
| # amount of low-precision data. It has terrible numeric properties. | |
| # | |
| # See a comparison of three computational methods here: | |
| # http://www.johndcook.com/blog/2008/09/26/comparing-three-methods-of-computing-standard-deviation/ | |
| def _ss(data, c=None): | |
| """Return sum of square deviations of sequence data. | |
| If ``c`` is None, the mean is calculated in one pass, and the deviations | |
| from the mean are calculated in a second pass. Otherwise, deviations are | |
| calculated from ``c`` as given. Use the second case with care, as it can | |
| lead to garbage results. | |
| """ | |
| if c is not None: | |
| T, total, count = _sum((x-c)**2 for x in data) | |
| return (T, total) | |
| T, total, count = _sum(data) | |
| mean_n, mean_d = (total / count).as_integer_ratio() | |
| partials = Counter() | |
| for n, d in map(_exact_ratio, data): | |
| diff_n = n * mean_d - d * mean_n | |
| diff_d = d * mean_d | |
| partials[diff_d * diff_d] += diff_n * diff_n | |
| if None in partials: | |
| # The sum will be a NAN or INF. We can ignore all the finite | |
| # partials, and just look at this special one. | |
| total = partials[None] | |
| assert not _isfinite(total) | |
| else: | |
| total = sum(Fraction(n, d) for d, n in partials.items()) | |
| return (T, total) | |
| def variance(data, xbar=None): | |
| """Return the sample variance of data. | |
| data should be an iterable of Real-valued numbers, with at least two | |
| values. The optional argument xbar, if given, should be the mean of | |
| the data. If it is missing or None, the mean is automatically calculated. | |
| Use this function when your data is a sample from a population. To | |
| calculate the variance from the entire population, see ``pvariance``. | |
| Examples: | |
| >>> data = [2.75, 1.75, 1.25, 0.25, 0.5, 1.25, 3.5] | |
| >>> variance(data) | |
| 1.3720238095238095 | |
| If you have already calculated the mean of your data, you can pass it as | |
| the optional second argument ``xbar`` to avoid recalculating it: | |
| >>> m = mean(data) | |
| >>> variance(data, m) | |
| 1.3720238095238095 | |
| This function does not check that ``xbar`` is actually the mean of | |
| ``data``. Giving arbitrary values for ``xbar`` may lead to invalid or | |
| impossible results. | |
| Decimals and Fractions are supported: | |
| >>> from decimal import Decimal as D | |
| >>> variance([D("27.5"), D("30.25"), D("30.25"), D("34.5"), D("41.75")]) | |
| Decimal('31.01875') | |
| >>> from fractions import Fraction as F | |
| >>> variance([F(1, 6), F(1, 2), F(5, 3)]) | |
| Fraction(67, 108) | |
| """ | |
| if iter(data) is data: | |
| data = list(data) | |
| n = len(data) | |
| if n < 2: | |
| raise StatisticsError('variance requires at least two data points') | |
| T, ss = _ss(data, xbar) | |
| return _convert(ss / (n - 1), T) | |
| def pvariance(data, mu=None): | |
| """Return the population variance of ``data``. | |
| data should be a sequence or iterable of Real-valued numbers, with at least one | |
| value. The optional argument mu, if given, should be the mean of | |
| the data. If it is missing or None, the mean is automatically calculated. | |
| Use this function to calculate the variance from the entire population. | |
| To estimate the variance from a sample, the ``variance`` function is | |
| usually a better choice. | |
| Examples: | |
| >>> data = [0.0, 0.25, 0.25, 1.25, 1.5, 1.75, 2.75, 3.25] | |
| >>> pvariance(data) | |
| 1.25 | |
| If you have already calculated the mean of the data, you can pass it as | |
| the optional second argument to avoid recalculating it: | |
| >>> mu = mean(data) | |
| >>> pvariance(data, mu) | |
| 1.25 | |
| Decimals and Fractions are supported: | |
| >>> from decimal import Decimal as D | |
| >>> pvariance([D("27.5"), D("30.25"), D("30.25"), D("34.5"), D("41.75")]) | |
| Decimal('24.815') | |
| >>> from fractions import Fraction as F | |
| >>> pvariance([F(1, 4), F(5, 4), F(1, 2)]) | |
| Fraction(13, 72) | |
| """ | |
| if iter(data) is data: | |
| data = list(data) | |
| n = len(data) | |
| if n < 1: | |
| raise StatisticsError('pvariance requires at least one data point') | |
| T, ss = _ss(data, mu) | |
| return _convert(ss / n, T) | |
| def stdev(data, xbar=None): | |
| """Return the square root of the sample variance. | |
| See ``variance`` for arguments and other details. | |
| >>> stdev([1.5, 2.5, 2.5, 2.75, 3.25, 4.75]) | |
| 1.0810874155219827 | |
| """ | |
| # Fixme: Despite the exact sum of squared deviations, some inaccuracy | |
| # remain because there are two rounding steps. The first occurs in | |
| # the _convert() step for variance(), the second occurs in math.sqrt(). | |
| var = variance(data, xbar) | |
| try: | |
| return var.sqrt() | |
| except AttributeError: | |
| return math.sqrt(var) | |
| def pstdev(data, mu=None): | |
| """Return the square root of the population variance. | |
| See ``pvariance`` for arguments and other details. | |
| >>> pstdev([1.5, 2.5, 2.5, 2.75, 3.25, 4.75]) | |
| 0.986893273527251 | |
| """ | |
| # Fixme: Despite the exact sum of squared deviations, some inaccuracy | |
| # remain because there are two rounding steps. The first occurs in | |
| # the _convert() step for pvariance(), the second occurs in math.sqrt(). | |
| var = pvariance(data, mu) | |
| try: | |
| return var.sqrt() | |
| except AttributeError: | |
| return math.sqrt(var) | |
| # === Statistics for relations between two inputs === | |
| # See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Covariance | |
| # https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pearson_correlation_coefficient | |
| # https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simple_linear_regression | |
| def covariance(x, y, /): | |
| """Covariance | |
| Return the sample covariance of two inputs *x* and *y*. Covariance | |
| is a measure of the joint variability of two inputs. | |
| >>> x = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9] | |
| >>> y = [1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 3, 1, 2, 3] | |
| >>> covariance(x, y) | |
| 0.75 | |
| >>> z = [9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1] | |
| >>> covariance(x, z) | |
| -7.5 | |
| >>> covariance(z, x) | |
| -7.5 | |
| """ | |
| n = len(x) | |
| if len(y) != n: | |
| raise StatisticsError('covariance requires that both inputs have same number of data points') | |
| if n < 2: | |
| raise StatisticsError('covariance requires at least two data points') | |
| xbar = fsum(x) / n | |
| ybar = fsum(y) / n | |
| sxy = fsum((xi - xbar) * (yi - ybar) for xi, yi in zip(x, y)) | |
| return sxy / (n - 1) | |
| def correlation(x, y, /): | |
| """Pearson's correlation coefficient | |
| Return the Pearson's correlation coefficient for two inputs. Pearson's | |
| correlation coefficient *r* takes values between -1 and +1. It measures the | |
| strength and direction of the linear relationship, where +1 means very | |
| strong, positive linear relationship, -1 very strong, negative linear | |
| relationship, and 0 no linear relationship. | |
| >>> x = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9] | |
| >>> y = [9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1] | |
| >>> correlation(x, x) | |
| 1.0 | |
| >>> correlation(x, y) | |
| -1.0 | |
| """ | |
| n = len(x) | |
| if len(y) != n: | |
| raise StatisticsError('correlation requires that both inputs have same number of data points') | |
| if n < 2: | |
| raise StatisticsError('correlation requires at least two data points') | |
| xbar = fsum(x) / n | |
| ybar = fsum(y) / n | |
| sxy = fsum((xi - xbar) * (yi - ybar) for xi, yi in zip(x, y)) | |
| sxx = fsum((xi - xbar) ** 2.0 for xi in x) | |
| syy = fsum((yi - ybar) ** 2.0 for yi in y) | |
| try: | |
| return sxy / sqrt(sxx * syy) | |
| except ZeroDivisionError: | |
| raise StatisticsError('at least one of the inputs is constant') | |
| LinearRegression = namedtuple('LinearRegression', ('slope', 'intercept')) | |
| def linear_regression(x, y, /): | |
| """Slope and intercept for simple linear regression. | |
| Return the slope and intercept of simple linear regression | |
| parameters estimated using ordinary least squares. Simple linear | |
| regression describes relationship between an independent variable | |
| *x* and a dependent variable *y* in terms of linear function: | |
| y = slope * x + intercept + noise | |
| where *slope* and *intercept* are the regression parameters that are | |
| estimated, and noise represents the variability of the data that was | |
| not explained by the linear regression (it is equal to the | |
| difference between predicted and actual values of the dependent | |
| variable). | |
| The parameters are returned as a named tuple. | |
| >>> x = [1, 2, 3, 4, 5] | |
| >>> noise = NormalDist().samples(5, seed=42) | |
| >>> y = [3 * x[i] + 2 + noise[i] for i in range(5)] | |
| >>> linear_regression(x, y) #doctest: +ELLIPSIS | |
| LinearRegression(slope=3.09078914170..., intercept=1.75684970486...) | |
| """ | |
| n = len(x) | |
| if len(y) != n: | |
| raise StatisticsError('linear regression requires that both inputs have same number of data points') | |
| if n < 2: | |
| raise StatisticsError('linear regression requires at least two data points') | |
| xbar = fsum(x) / n | |
| ybar = fsum(y) / n | |
| sxy = fsum((xi - xbar) * (yi - ybar) for xi, yi in zip(x, y)) | |
| sxx = fsum((xi - xbar) ** 2.0 for xi in x) | |
| try: | |
| slope = sxy / sxx # equivalent to: covariance(x, y) / variance(x) | |
| except ZeroDivisionError: | |
| raise StatisticsError('x is constant') | |
| intercept = ybar - slope * xbar | |
| return LinearRegression(slope=slope, intercept=intercept) | |
| ## Normal Distribution ##################################################### | |
| def _normal_dist_inv_cdf(p, mu, sigma): | |
| # There is no closed-form solution to the inverse CDF for the normal | |
| # distribution, so we use a rational approximation instead: | |
| # Wichura, M.J. (1988). "Algorithm AS241: The Percentage Points of the | |
| # Normal Distribution". Applied Statistics. Blackwell Publishing. 37 | |
| # (3): 477–484. doi:10.2307/2347330. JSTOR 2347330. | |
| q = p - 0.5 | |
| if fabs(q) <= 0.425: | |
| r = 0.180625 - q * q | |
| # Hash sum: 55.88319_28806_14901_4439 | |
| num = (((((((2.50908_09287_30122_6727e+3 * r + | |
| 3.34305_75583_58812_8105e+4) * r + | |
| 6.72657_70927_00870_0853e+4) * r + | |
| 4.59219_53931_54987_1457e+4) * r + | |
| 1.37316_93765_50946_1125e+4) * r + | |
| 1.97159_09503_06551_4427e+3) * r + | |
| 1.33141_66789_17843_7745e+2) * r + | |
| 3.38713_28727_96366_6080e+0) * q | |
| den = (((((((5.22649_52788_52854_5610e+3 * r + | |
| 2.87290_85735_72194_2674e+4) * r + | |
| 3.93078_95800_09271_0610e+4) * r + | |
| 2.12137_94301_58659_5867e+4) * r + | |
| 5.39419_60214_24751_1077e+3) * r + | |
| 6.87187_00749_20579_0830e+2) * r + | |
| 4.23133_30701_60091_1252e+1) * r + | |
| 1.0) | |
| x = num / den | |
| return mu + (x * sigma) | |
| r = p if q <= 0.0 else 1.0 - p | |
| r = sqrt(-log(r)) | |
| if r <= 5.0: | |
| r = r - 1.6 | |
| # Hash sum: 49.33206_50330_16102_89036 | |
| num = (((((((7.74545_01427_83414_07640e-4 * r + | |
| 2.27238_44989_26918_45833e-2) * r + | |
| 2.41780_72517_74506_11770e-1) * r + | |
| 1.27045_82524_52368_38258e+0) * r + | |
| 3.64784_83247_63204_60504e+0) * r + | |
| 5.76949_72214_60691_40550e+0) * r + | |
| 4.63033_78461_56545_29590e+0) * r + | |
| 1.42343_71107_49683_57734e+0) | |
| den = (((((((1.05075_00716_44416_84324e-9 * r + | |
| 5.47593_80849_95344_94600e-4) * r + | |
| 1.51986_66563_61645_71966e-2) * r + | |
| 1.48103_97642_74800_74590e-1) * r + | |
| 6.89767_33498_51000_04550e-1) * r + | |
| 1.67638_48301_83803_84940e+0) * r + | |
| 2.05319_16266_37758_82187e+0) * r + | |
| 1.0) | |
| else: | |
| r = r - 5.0 | |
| # Hash sum: 47.52583_31754_92896_71629 | |
| num = (((((((2.01033_43992_92288_13265e-7 * r + | |
| 2.71155_55687_43487_57815e-5) * r + | |
| 1.24266_09473_88078_43860e-3) * r + | |
| 2.65321_89526_57612_30930e-2) * r + | |
| 2.96560_57182_85048_91230e-1) * r + | |
| 1.78482_65399_17291_33580e+0) * r + | |
| 5.46378_49111_64114_36990e+0) * r + | |
| 6.65790_46435_01103_77720e+0) | |
| den = (((((((2.04426_31033_89939_78564e-15 * r + | |
| 1.42151_17583_16445_88870e-7) * r + | |
| 1.84631_83175_10054_68180e-5) * r + | |
| 7.86869_13114_56132_59100e-4) * r + | |
| 1.48753_61290_85061_48525e-2) * r + | |
| 1.36929_88092_27358_05310e-1) * r + | |
| 5.99832_20655_58879_37690e-1) * r + | |
| 1.0) | |
| x = num / den | |
| if q < 0.0: | |
| x = -x | |
| return mu + (x * sigma) | |
| # If available, use C implementation | |
| try: | |
| from _statistics import _normal_dist_inv_cdf | |
| except ImportError: | |
| pass | |
| class NormalDist: | |
| "Normal distribution of a random variable" | |
| # https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution | |
| # https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance#Properties | |
| __slots__ = { | |
| '_mu': 'Arithmetic mean of a normal distribution', | |
| '_sigma': 'Standard deviation of a normal distribution', | |
| } | |
| def __init__(self, mu=0.0, sigma=1.0): | |
| "NormalDist where mu is the mean and sigma is the standard deviation." | |
| if sigma < 0.0: | |
| raise StatisticsError('sigma must be non-negative') | |
| self._mu = float(mu) | |
| self._sigma = float(sigma) | |
| def from_samples(cls, data): | |
| "Make a normal distribution instance from sample data." | |
| if not isinstance(data, (list, tuple)): | |
| data = list(data) | |
| xbar = fmean(data) | |
| return cls(xbar, stdev(data, xbar)) | |
| def samples(self, n, *, seed=None): | |
| "Generate *n* samples for a given mean and standard deviation." | |
| gauss = random.gauss if seed is None else random.Random(seed).gauss | |
| mu, sigma = self._mu, self._sigma | |
| return [gauss(mu, sigma) for i in range(n)] | |
| def pdf(self, x): | |
| "Probability density function. P(x <= X < x+dx) / dx" | |
| variance = self._sigma ** 2.0 | |
| if not variance: | |
| raise StatisticsError('pdf() not defined when sigma is zero') | |
| return exp((x - self._mu)**2.0 / (-2.0*variance)) / sqrt(tau*variance) | |
| def cdf(self, x): | |
| "Cumulative distribution function. P(X <= x)" | |
| if not self._sigma: | |
| raise StatisticsError('cdf() not defined when sigma is zero') | |
| return 0.5 * (1.0 + erf((x - self._mu) / (self._sigma * sqrt(2.0)))) | |
| def inv_cdf(self, p): | |
| """Inverse cumulative distribution function. x : P(X <= x) = p | |
| Finds the value of the random variable such that the probability of | |
| the variable being less than or equal to that value equals the given | |
| probability. | |
| This function is also called the percent point function or quantile | |
| function. | |
| """ | |
| if p <= 0.0 or p >= 1.0: | |
| raise StatisticsError('p must be in the range 0.0 < p < 1.0') | |
| if self._sigma <= 0.0: | |
| raise StatisticsError('cdf() not defined when sigma at or below zero') | |
| return _normal_dist_inv_cdf(p, self._mu, self._sigma) | |
| def quantiles(self, n=4): | |
| """Divide into *n* continuous intervals with equal probability. | |
| Returns a list of (n - 1) cut points separating the intervals. | |
| Set *n* to 4 for quartiles (the default). Set *n* to 10 for deciles. | |
| Set *n* to 100 for percentiles which gives the 99 cuts points that | |
| separate the normal distribution in to 100 equal sized groups. | |
| """ | |
| return [self.inv_cdf(i / n) for i in range(1, n)] | |
| def overlap(self, other): | |
| """Compute the overlapping coefficient (OVL) between two normal distributions. | |
| Measures the agreement between two normal probability distributions. | |
| Returns a value between 0.0 and 1.0 giving the overlapping area in | |
| the two underlying probability density functions. | |
| >>> N1 = NormalDist(2.4, 1.6) | |
| >>> N2 = NormalDist(3.2, 2.0) | |
| >>> N1.overlap(N2) | |
| 0.8035050657330205 | |
| """ | |
| # See: "The overlapping coefficient as a measure of agreement between | |
| # probability distributions and point estimation of the overlap of two | |
| # normal densities" -- Henry F. Inman and Edwin L. Bradley Jr | |
| # http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03610928908830127 | |
| if not isinstance(other, NormalDist): | |
| raise TypeError('Expected another NormalDist instance') | |
| X, Y = self, other | |
| if (Y._sigma, Y._mu) < (X._sigma, X._mu): # sort to assure commutativity | |
| X, Y = Y, X | |
| X_var, Y_var = X.variance, Y.variance | |
| if not X_var or not Y_var: | |
| raise StatisticsError('overlap() not defined when sigma is zero') | |
| dv = Y_var - X_var | |
| dm = fabs(Y._mu - X._mu) | |
| if not dv: | |
| return 1.0 - erf(dm / (2.0 * X._sigma * sqrt(2.0))) | |
| a = X._mu * Y_var - Y._mu * X_var | |
| b = X._sigma * Y._sigma * sqrt(dm**2.0 + dv * log(Y_var / X_var)) | |
| x1 = (a + b) / dv | |
| x2 = (a - b) / dv | |
| return 1.0 - (fabs(Y.cdf(x1) - X.cdf(x1)) + fabs(Y.cdf(x2) - X.cdf(x2))) | |
| def zscore(self, x): | |
| """Compute the Standard Score. (x - mean) / stdev | |
| Describes *x* in terms of the number of standard deviations | |
| above or below the mean of the normal distribution. | |
| """ | |
| # https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/z-score/ | |
| if not self._sigma: | |
| raise StatisticsError('zscore() not defined when sigma is zero') | |
| return (x - self._mu) / self._sigma | |
| def mean(self): | |
| "Arithmetic mean of the normal distribution." | |
| return self._mu | |
| def median(self): | |
| "Return the median of the normal distribution" | |
| return self._mu | |
| def mode(self): | |
| """Return the mode of the normal distribution | |
| The mode is the value x where which the probability density | |
| function (pdf) takes its maximum value. | |
| """ | |
| return self._mu | |
| def stdev(self): | |
| "Standard deviation of the normal distribution." | |
| return self._sigma | |
| def variance(self): | |
| "Square of the standard deviation." | |
| return self._sigma ** 2.0 | |
| def __add__(x1, x2): | |
| """Add a constant or another NormalDist instance. | |
| If *other* is a constant, translate mu by the constant, | |
| leaving sigma unchanged. | |
| If *other* is a NormalDist, add both the means and the variances. | |
| Mathematically, this works only if the two distributions are | |
| independent or if they are jointly normally distributed. | |
| """ | |
| if isinstance(x2, NormalDist): | |
| return NormalDist(x1._mu + x2._mu, hypot(x1._sigma, x2._sigma)) | |
| return NormalDist(x1._mu + x2, x1._sigma) | |
| def __sub__(x1, x2): | |
| """Subtract a constant or another NormalDist instance. | |
| If *other* is a constant, translate by the constant mu, | |
| leaving sigma unchanged. | |
| If *other* is a NormalDist, subtract the means and add the variances. | |
| Mathematically, this works only if the two distributions are | |
| independent or if they are jointly normally distributed. | |
| """ | |
| if isinstance(x2, NormalDist): | |
| return NormalDist(x1._mu - x2._mu, hypot(x1._sigma, x2._sigma)) | |
| return NormalDist(x1._mu - x2, x1._sigma) | |
| def __mul__(x1, x2): | |
| """Multiply both mu and sigma by a constant. | |
| Used for rescaling, perhaps to change measurement units. | |
| Sigma is scaled with the absolute value of the constant. | |
| """ | |
| return NormalDist(x1._mu * x2, x1._sigma * fabs(x2)) | |
| def __truediv__(x1, x2): | |
| """Divide both mu and sigma by a constant. | |
| Used for rescaling, perhaps to change measurement units. | |
| Sigma is scaled with the absolute value of the constant. | |
| """ | |
| return NormalDist(x1._mu / x2, x1._sigma / fabs(x2)) | |
| def __pos__(x1): | |
| "Return a copy of the instance." | |
| return NormalDist(x1._mu, x1._sigma) | |
| def __neg__(x1): | |
| "Negates mu while keeping sigma the same." | |
| return NormalDist(-x1._mu, x1._sigma) | |
| __radd__ = __add__ | |
| def __rsub__(x1, x2): | |
| "Subtract a NormalDist from a constant or another NormalDist." | |
| return -(x1 - x2) | |
| __rmul__ = __mul__ | |
| def __eq__(x1, x2): | |
| "Two NormalDist objects are equal if their mu and sigma are both equal." | |
| if not isinstance(x2, NormalDist): | |
| return NotImplemented | |
| return x1._mu == x2._mu and x1._sigma == x2._sigma | |
| def __hash__(self): | |
| "NormalDist objects hash equal if their mu and sigma are both equal." | |
| return hash((self._mu, self._sigma)) | |
| def __repr__(self): | |
| return f'{type(self).__name__}(mu={self._mu!r}, sigma={self._sigma!r})' | |
| def __getstate__(self): | |
| return self._mu, self._sigma | |
| def __setstate__(self, state): | |
| self._mu, self._sigma = state | |
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